Rabobank: China market offers opportunities for animal protein

China’s animal protein market has seen consumption trends evolve due to cyclical and structural factors, including market oversupply, economic slowdown, demographic shifts and changing consumer values.

Meat Milk Eggs
Nadianb | BigStock.com

China’s animal protein market has seen consumption trends evolve due to cyclical and structural factors, including market oversupply, economic slowdown, demographic shifts and changing consumer values. According to a recent RaboResearch report, these new trends present opportunities and risks for the industry. Companies need to strategize for long-term consumer market changes and get ready to meet the sophisticated demands of modern Chinese consumers.

Gone are the days of one-size-fits-all products in China’s animal protein market.

“Today’s consumers expect more than just a product; they seek a comprehensive value proposition that includes good service and valued experiences,” said Chenjun Pan, senior analyst – animal protein for RaboResearch.

This shift is a result of China’s remarkable economic growth, market liberalization and digitalization, which have all contributed to per capita meat consumption doubling from 35 kilograms in the mid-1990s to 72 kilograms in 2023.

While China’s economy transitions and income growth moderates, the resilience of animal protein consumption is evident. Consumers may be tightening their belts in other areas, but their expenditure on food remains firm. The focus has shifted from quantity to quality.

“How to eat well instead of how to eat more has now become the focus of many Chinese consumers,” Pan said.

China’s aging population and smaller household sizes are leading to a nuanced impact on animal protein consumption.

“The market is gradually moving away from pork, traditionally the dominant choice, toward poultry, beef and seafood, which are favored for their perceived health benefits,” Pan said. “Additionally, the older generation’s adoption of ecommerce, food delivery and convenience foods marks the end of past consumption behaviors.”

4 key trends influencing the future

According to RaboResearch, the future of China’s animal protein consumption is shaped by four notable trends:

  1. Value for money: Consumers are increasingly seeking products that offer the best value for their money.
  2. Experience economy: There is a growing preference for spending on services over goods, reflecting a desire for valued experiences.
  3. Health and nutrition: Investment in health and nutrition is on the rise, influencing purchasing decisions.
  4. Evolving distribution channels: The continuous evolution of distribution channels is changing how consumers access animal protein products.

To capitalize on these trends, animal protein companies must pivot from a volume-centric to a consumer-centric approach. This involves focusing on:

  • Value growth: Companies should prioritize value over volume, with an emphasis on poultry, beef and high-value seafood.
  • Downstream extension: Closer integration with foodservice and retailers will help companies secure margins and meet consumer needs more effectively.
  • Sustainability: As consumer awareness of sustainability grows, animal protein supply chains have the opportunity to strengthen partnerships with retailers and foodservice by enhancing sustainability efforts.
  • Standardization: The trend toward standardized food processing and preparation opens new avenues for supply chain innovation.

“These changes in China’s animal protein market present a unique set of challenges and opportunities,” Pan said. “Companies that adapt to these new consumption trends with agility and consumer focus are set to thrive in this dynamic environment.”

Page 1 of 2183
Next Page